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The report predicts that by 2030, connectivity will impact every aspect of daily life, on both the physical and psychological levels. Malicious threat actors will evolve to use and abuse technological innovation.
“Project 2030 is not a definitive vision of what will be, but a thought-provoking take on what could be — detailing a future that is plausible based on current technology and trends,” comments Trend Micro vice president of security Rik Ferguson.
“We hope this possible future will spark a debate within the security industry and wider society. Only by carefully anticipating future scenarios can we offer governments, businesses, and individuals a way to prepare for the cyber challenges of the coming decade.”
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“Cyber-threats are constantly evolving to match the sophistication of our digital environment,” stresses Trend Micro technical director ANZ Mick McCluney. “Many of the threats highlighted in this report may seem similar to what we face today, however, it’s clear that automation and AI will transform how these attacks happen. In order to prepare for this future – as businesses and individuals – it is critical that regulation and education is prioritised, and technology is evolved to meet the demands of tomorrow.”
The report looks at the world in 2030 through the eyes of a fictional citizen, a business, and a government. It offers a detailed analysis of evolving cyber threats and how these might impact security stakeholders.
Trend Micro predicts the following scenarios:
AI tools democratise cybercrime on a whole new scale to individuals with no technical skill
Attacks cause chaos with supply chains and physical harm to humans through their cyber-implants
Social engineering and misinformation will become more visceral and harder to ignore when delivered via ubiquitous heads up displays (HUDs)
Massive IoT (MIoT) environments attract sabotage and extortion attacks targeting manufacturing, logistics, transportation, healthcare, education, retail, and the home environment
AI-powered obfuscation makes attribution virtually impossible, pushing the security industry’s focus towards incident response and IAM at the edge
5G and 6G connectivity everywhere drive more sophisticated and precise attacks
Everything as a Service turns cloud providers into hugely lucrative targets for cyber-attackers
Grey markets emerge for those who want tools to confound workplace monitoring
Techno-nationalism becomes a key geostrategic tool of some of the world’s most powerful nations, with the gulf between them and the have-nots widening further
“These scenarios and their associated threats will require changes to the business and regulation of cybersecurity. The cybersecurity industry must evolve both technology and training to prepare for a future in which everything is connected and at risk,” comments cybersecurity futurist Dr Victoria Baines.
A successor to Trend Micro’s acclaimed 2012 report, Project 2020, the new paper was compiled from open-source research, vendor threat landscape reports, scientific abstracts, patents, an invitation-only online survey, and a CISO poll.
The video dramatisation of the report is meant to be an engaging, entertaining way to visualise the future and enable organisations to think about how they will need to adapt to new realities.